Market · 🇬🇧 United Kingdom

Build your market, don't borrow it

A national spending figure isn't your market. Narrow it to what you sell, who you can reach, and who you're actually for — the number that survives all three is the one worth planning against.

What you actually sell

The chain

National spend£60.0bn

Everything spent on all apparel & footwear in United Kingdom

you only sell hoodies & sweatshirts× 7%
top-down£4.2bn

Your category, nationwide — the ceiling

buys this category online× 32%
mid-market pricing× 45%
your buyer segment× 15%
£90.7m

The pond you're actually fishing in

the share you win× 0.40%
£363k

Realistic annual revenue at this share

Revenue at that share

£363k

per year

Per month

£30k

Units sold needed

3,287

9 orders a day

Ad budget to get there

£59k

at £18 each

Reality check

Your simulation reaches £9,315 in year one — that's 3% of the 0.40% share you just claimed, sized top-down. The gap is the point. Either drop the share to something the engine can deliver, or change the engine.

Narrow it to who you can reach

Every cut here should be one you could defend to a sceptic.

Buys this category online32%

Where your price sits

You charge £69around the category average. Roughly 45% of category spend sits here.

Your buyer segment15%

Age, style, use case — the people you're genuinely for

Share of that pond you capture

Share you capture0.40%
Locked

Bottom-up cross-check

Locked

Capture curve

National spending figures are directional estimates from public category data, not a licensed dataset. The chain above matters more than the starting number — a defensible method with a rough input beats a precise input with no method.